Assam Exit Poll 2026: Himanta Biswa Sarma Set For Landslide Win As NDA Predicted To Clinch Victory On 92 Seats

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE: According to the predictions of five exit polls, the BJP-led NDA is set to win an average of 92 seats in Assam, while Congress is predicted to claim victory on 30 seats. Other parties are predicted to get four seats in the 126-seat Assembly.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE: Lower Assam consists of Dhubri, Golapara, Bongaigaon, Bajali, Barpeta, Kamrup, Kamrup Metropolitan and Nalbari districts. There are a total of 33 constituencies in this region.

Seat Share

According to Matrize, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its NDA allies are predicted to win 10 to 21 seats in Lower Assam. Meanwhile, Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies are predicted to bag nine to eleven seats. Other parties are projected to win two to four seats.

Vote Share

According to Matrize's prediction, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its NDA allies are predicted to get 40.6% votes in Lower Assam. Meanwhile, 37.2% voters have been predicted to have voted for Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE: North and Central Assam consists of Darang, Morigaon, Nagaon, Hojai, Sonitpue, Biswanath, Lakhimpur, Dhimaji, Karbi Anglong, West Karbi Anglong districts. There are a total of 38 constituencies in this region.

Seat Share

According to Matrize, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its NDA allies are predicted to win 28 to 30 seats in North and Central Assam. Meanwhile, Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies are set to bag six to eight seats. Other parties are projected to win 1 to 3 seats.

Vote Share

According to Matrize's prediction, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its NDA allies are predicted to get 46.1% votes in North and Central Assam. Meanwhile, 40.3% voters have been predicted to have voted for Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Exit polls by Chanakya Strategies has also predicted a landslide victory for BJP-led NDA alliance in Assam. According to its prediction, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to clinch victory on 88 to 98 seats, easily crossing the majority mark in the 126-seat state Assembly, paving the way for the formation of the third straight government of BJP in the state.

Here is the seat prediction by Chanakya Strategies:

BJP and its allies- 88 to 98 seats

Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies- 22 to 32 seats

Others- 3 to 5 seats

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE: Barak Valley has three districts- Cachar, Karimganj, and Hailakandi. There are a total of 13 constituencies in this region with some major seats being Sonai, Algapur-Katlicherra and Karimganj South.

Seat Share

According to Matrize, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its NDA allies are predicted to win 9 to 10 seats in Barak Valley. Meanwhile, Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies are set to bag three to four seats. Other parties are projected to win zero to one seat.

Vote Share

According to Matrize's prediction, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its NDA allies are predicted to get 48.4% votes in Barak Valley. Meanwhile, 40.2% voters have been predicted to have voted for Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE: JVC has predicted that the BJP-led NDA is set to form government in Assam for the third straight time. According to the prediction, BJP and its allies will clinch victory on 88 to 101 seats.

Meanwhile, Congress and its allies are predicted to win 23 to 33 seats in the state Assembly.

Other parties are predicted to get two to five seats.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: According to P Marq, 45% male voted for NDA, while 37% voted for Opposition alliance Asom Sonmilito Morcha, and 18% voted for others.

Meanwhile, 42% females voted for NDA, 39% voted for Asom Sonmilito Morcha, and 19% voted for others.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Axis My India has predicted that the BJP-led NDA is set to form government in Assam for the third straight time. According to the prediction, BJP and its allies will clinch victory on 88 to 100 seats.

Meanwhile, Congress and its allies are predicted to win 24 to 36 seats in the state Assembly.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE: According to Matrize, BJP and its allies are projected to get 45.5% share of votes, while Congress and its allies in Oppositon alliance Asom Sonmilito Morcha are predicated to win 39.8% votes.

As per P-Marq, the BJP-led NDA allies are set to get 44% vote share, with Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies are predicted to get 38% votes.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: According to exit poll predictions, as shown by Matrize, the BJP-led NDA alliance is headed for a clear win in Assam as it predicted to clinch victory on 85 to 95 seats. Notably, the majority mark in the 126-seat Assembly is 64 seats.

The Congress and other parties in the Opposition alliance Asom Sonmilito Morcha is predicted to win 25 to 32 seats.

According to Matrize, BJP and its allies are projected to win 45.5% share of votes, while Congress are predicated to win 39.8% votes.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: According to exit poll predictions, as shown by P-Marq, the BJP-led NDA alliance is headed for a clear win in Assam as it predicted to clinch victory on 82 to 94 seats.

The Congress and other parties in the Opposition alliance Asom Sonmilito Morcha is predicted to win 30 to 40 seats.

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: The Bihpuria constituency is in spotlight in Assam. The key candidate from this seat is Bhupen Kumar Borah, who was serving as the Assam Pradesh Congress Committee President when he resigned from the party and joined the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in February 2026.

Notably, Borah served as the MLA of Bihpuria from 2006 to 2011 as a Congress leader. From 2011, the constituency has been held by the BJP.

After Borah's defection from Congress, the BJP gave him a ticket to his old constituency. 

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Himanta Biswa Sarma is eying a second term as the Chief Minister of Assam. Sarma, who contested elections from Jalukbari constituency, will form the government again if BJP wins at least 64 seats alone or if the NDA alliance touches the majority mark.

Assam Exit Poll 2026 Live: As exit poll projections for the 2026 Assam Assembly Elections draw closer, Karimganj district has emerged as a key battleground, with high-stakes contests in constituencies like Ratabari and Patharkandi.

Both seats have historically delivered tight electoral fights, making them crucial indicators of the broader political mood in the Barak Valley region.

In Ratabari, a Scheduled Caste-reserved seat with a significant working-class voter base, the BJP has maintained a consistent electoral edge in recent years. The party’s organisational strength and voter outreach have helped it consolidate support here - but exit polls will reveal whether that advantage still holds.

Assam Elections Exit Poll Live Updates: Among the key parties who contested the elections for the 126 constituencies in Assam are:

1. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) - The party, with candidates including Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, contested on 90 seats.
2. Congress - The party, led by Gaurav Gogoi, contested on 99 seats.
3. Asom Gana Parishad- The NDA ally contested on 26 seats.
4. Raijor Dal- The Akhil Gogoi-led Congress ally, which is part of Opposition alliance Asom Sonmilito Morcha, contested on 13 seats.
5. Assam Jatiya Parishad- The Lurinjyoti Gogoi-led Congress ally, which is part of Opposition alliance Asom Sonmilito Morcha, contested on 10 seats.
6. Bodoland People's Front- The NDA ally contested on 11 seats.
7. All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF)- The party contested on 30 seats.

Assam Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Among the key players who contested the elections for the 126 constituencies in Assam are:

1. Himanta Biswa Sarma- The current Chief Minister of Assam is seeking a re-election from Jalukbari constituency. Notably, he has been Jalukbari MLA for five straight terms since 2021.
2. Gaurav Gogoi- State Congress President Gaurav Gogoi, who is the son of former CM Tarun Gogoi, contested from Jorhat constituency against sitting BJP MLA Hitendra Nath Goswami.
3. Akhil Gogoi- Raijor Dal President Akhil Gogoi is another key player in the fray. He is eying the Sibsagar constituency.
4. Debabrata Saikia- The Leader of Opposition contested from Nazira constituency.

Assam Exit Polls LIVE: Exit poll forecasts will be accessible through multiple mediums, from traditional TV news broadcasts to the digital sites and social media feeds of major polling agencies. Arnab Goswami and team stand ready to simplify the data as the 2026 exit poll storm hits tonight. You can watch the live updates for exit polls on-

• Republic World Website- https://www.republicworld.com
• Republic World YouTube Channel- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHuJYNiL80g
• Viewers can also tune into X Profile for latest news updates- https://x.com/republic
• Leading agencies- including P-MARQ and Matrize, in collaboration with Republic- will also share exit poll updates.

Assam Exit Polls LIVE: Assam Assembly elections concluded on April 9. The counting of votes will be done on May 4 and the results will be declared on the same day.

Assam recorded a historical voter turnout in the recently-concluded elections at 85.9%, the highest turnout ever recorded by the state.